Marino vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
8º
14º
13º
16
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
TAM
1 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
PAN
17%
21%
62%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +4 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
CDM
15%
21%
64%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +3 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
UDI
0 - 0
MAR
36%
24%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 4
CSU
43%
26%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
EST
0 - 1
CDT
21%
24%
55%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
UDS
2 - 0
EST
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
EST
2 - 2
YAI
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UPR
6 - 0
EST
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
TAM
1 - 0
EST
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |