Marino vs At. Granadilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CDP
0 - 4
MAR
36%
27%
38%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
LAG
62%
22%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
2 - 2
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MAR
4 - 2
PPJ
26%
26%
49%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +4 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
UDV
0 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
At. Granadilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CAG
2 - 0
LAG
57%
24%
19%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
PPJ
3 - 1
CAG
63%
22%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CAG
2 - 1
GAL
61%
22%
16%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 4
CAG
31%
27%
42%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CAG
2 - 0
CAS
49%
26%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |