Marino vs Valdepeñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
CDB
1 - 0
MAR
40%
29%
31%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
MAR
1 - 2
REC
33%
29%
38%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
UDI
0 - 5
MAR
36%
30%
35%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
TEL
1 - 0
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
MAR
1 - 1
SEV
45%
29%
26%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
CDB
3 - 0
EST
27%
29%
45%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
MEL
2 - 0
CDB
74%
18%
8%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
TAL
1 - 0
CDB
46%
26%
28%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1990 |
CDB
1 - 1
BET
25%
27%
49%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
DAI
1 - 1
CDB
51%
25%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |