Marino vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SSR
3 - 1
MAR
65%
22%
14%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 3
FUE
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
OVI
0 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 3
SPB
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
MAR
68%
20%
12%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
SLA
16%
24%
61%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
AVI
2 - 0
ALC
40%
27%
34%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SSR
1 - 0
ALC
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 1
FUE
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
OVI
3 - 0
ALC
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |