Marinhense vs União Santarém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
3º
55
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
MAR
16%
24%
60%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
MAR
43%
29%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
MAR
16%
23%
62%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 3
BEN
44%
27%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
SIN
39%
28%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
USA
6 - 0
PAN
76%
15%
10%
|
45 | 8 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
USA
0 - 1
PEN
83%
13%
5%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 0
USA
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
USA
2 - 2
GOU
87%
10%
3%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
USA
2 - 0
BES
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |