Marinhense vs União Santarém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
36.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
MAR
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 3
ALV
23%
26%
51%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 2
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
SER
45%
25%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
USA
1 - 1
ALV
23%
25%
52%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
USA
0 - 1
CON
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
USA
1 - 1
SAC
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SIN
4 - 3
USA
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 0
USA
47%
23%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |