Marinhense vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
OLE
0 - 1
MAR
54%
24%
23%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
GDF
3 - 1
MAR
69%
18%
14%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
PEN
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
PRA
2 - 1
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
VIT
49%
24%
28%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 1
GDF
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 0
CON
57%
22%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
OLE
1 - 0
BEN
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 1
PEN
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 2
PEN
9%
18%
73%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |