Marinhense vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
41%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
5 - 1
VIT
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
SIN
1 - 4
MAR
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 2
MAR
23%
21%
56%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
UDL
12%
21%
68%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
BEN
17%
23%
60%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SER
2 - 0
TOR
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
SPC
9%
19%
73%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 0
SER
77%
17%
6%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SER
4 - 0
PEN
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
LOU
2 - 3
SER
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |