Marinhense vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
58.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
RDA
4 - 0
MAR
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
ANA
23%
25%
52%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 2
SOU
59%
20%
20%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
UDL
5 - 2
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
BEN
4 - 1
MAR
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
BEN
28%
27%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 3
SER
8%
14%
78%
|
42 | 15 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SER
1 - 0
OLE
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FAV
0 - 4
SER
9%
15%
75%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |