Marinhense vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.3%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.9%
82.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
17.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.8%
0-3
14.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
18.1%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.6%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
GDF
1 - 2
MAR
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
USA
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
SFU
0 - 2
MAR
21%
20%
59%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
FAT
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
RIO
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 0
GFC
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2019 |
SPB
2 - 0
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 0
ALV
92%
7%
2%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 0
VST
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |