Marinhense vs Rabo Peixe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
3º
30
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GDF
1 - 1
MAR
31%
28%
41%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
5 - 1
UFT
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 1
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
USA
0 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rabo Peixe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RAB
0 - 0
PEN
65%
21%
15%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 2
RAB
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
RAB
2 - 1
GOU
53%
23%
23%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 0
RAB
27%
25%
49%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RAB
2 - 0
COI
15%
22%
64%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | +2 |