Marinhense vs O Elvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
51.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
9º
5º
42
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
42 | 59 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 45 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 44 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 43 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 42 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 35 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 34 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 33 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 32 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 28 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 23 |
13º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 18 |
14º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 1
PER
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FCA
0 - 1
MAR
35%
27%
39%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 0
SER
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
COI
0 - 2
MAR
67%
21%
12%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 0
POM
65%
21%
15%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BEN
0 - 2
OEL
21%
25%
53%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
OEL
3 - 0
ALC
67%
22%
11%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 3
OEL
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 27 | 42 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
OEL
2 - 1
VIT
14%
21%
65%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
OEL
0 - 0
SAB
64%
23%
13%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |