Marinhense vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
59.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 1
ORI
10%
17%
73%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
5 - 0
MOR
13%
18%
69%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +4 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SER
2 - 1
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SER
0 - 2
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
BEN
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 1
ACV
17%
22%
61%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 1
LUS
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LUS
3 - 0
FAL
88%
9%
4%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LUS
4 - 1
FAL
78%
13%
9%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |