Marinhense vs Alverca II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+272%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
3º
39
1º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
MAR
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 4
USA
33%
27%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
MAR
16%
24%
60%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
MAR
43%
29%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
MAR
16%
23%
62%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Alverca II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
7 - 0
PEN
12%
18%
70%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 0
FCA
85%
11%
5%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 1
GOU
9%
16%
75%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 0
FCA
84%
12%
5%
|
7 | 31 | 24 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 0
COI
11%
19%
70%
|
7 | 66 | 59 | 0 |