Marinhense vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
11%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3º
6º
3º
3
10º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 54 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 52 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 44 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 43 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 38 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 38 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 38 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 36 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 33 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 33 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 31 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 30 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 17 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 14 |
14º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
26% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
69.5% | 42% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 56.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAL
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
MAR
19%
26%
55%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SER
2 - 3
MAR
29%
29%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
COI
25%
27%
49%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FAT
0 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FAT
0 - 1
PEN
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 0
FAT
57%
24%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FAT
0 - 0
ALC
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
FAT
14%
19%
67%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | -1 |