Marinhense vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
11.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
9º
4º
33
2º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 60 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 46 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 44 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 42 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 41 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 34 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 34 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 33 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 29 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 25 |
12º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 21 |
13º
|
41% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 19 |
14º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8.5% | 39% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 61% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAL
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
MAR
19%
26%
55%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
FCA
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SER
2 - 3
MAR
29%
29%
42%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
COI
25%
27%
49%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FAT
0 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FAT
0 - 1
PEN
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 0
FAT
57%
24%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FAT
0 - 0
ALC
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
FAT
14%
19%
67%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | -1 |