Marinhense vs Cova Piedade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
67.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
5 - 1
ALC
74%
16%
11%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
UDL
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
OLE
2 - 2
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
BEN
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 1
MAR
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cova Piedade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
EST
5 - 1
COV
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
COV
2 - 0
LEX
36%
29%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ACV
0 - 2
COV
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
GRA
1 - 4
COV
10%
16%
74%
|
53 | 16 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
COV
0 - 2
ARO
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |