Marines FC vs Rutsiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marines FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MUK
1 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
POL
48%
26%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
ASK
1 - 2
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
MFC
59%
21%
21%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VFC
4 - 0
MAR
15%
20%
65%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | -3 |
Matches
Rutsiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
RFC
0 - 0
KIY
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
RFC
3 - 0
MUK
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +3 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
APR
0 - 0
RFC
58%
21%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
ETI
0 - 0
RFC
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
POL
3 - 2
RFC
57%
21%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |