Marines FC vs Étoile de l'Est analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marines FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
MUS
5 - 1
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
APR
33%
28%
39%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
GIC
0 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
MUK
34%
29%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 6
BUG
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Étoile de l'Est
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
EDE
2 - 2
APR
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
BUG
0 - 0
EDE
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
EDE
0 - 1
RFC
55%
21%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
MUK
4 - 0
EDE
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
EDE
1 - 0
GFC
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |