Marines FC vs Bugesera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marines FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 1
MAR
40%
26%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
RFC
48%
23%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MUK
1 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
POL
48%
26%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
ASK
1 - 2
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BUG
0 - 0
MUK
45%
26%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
POL
2 - 2
BUG
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
BUG
1 - 2
ASK
49%
27%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 2
BUG
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
APR
2 - 0
BUG
48%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |