Marines FC vs Bugesera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marines FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
MAR
43%
28%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
GFC
53%
23%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GFC
2 - 0
MAR
43%
24%
32%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
KIY
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ASK
2 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
BUG
2 - 2
ETI
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 1
BUG
46%
28%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BUG
0 - 2
MUK
45%
27%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
GFC
1 - 1
BUG
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BUG
0 - 0
APR
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |