Marines FC vs AS Kigali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
35.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marines FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MUK
1 - 0
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
GFC
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
GFC
3 - 2
MAR
44%
26%
29%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
ESP
44%
28%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
KIY
38%
29%
33%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AS Kigali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ASK
2 - 0
GFC
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
KIY
1 - 0
ASK
47%
27%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ASK
4 - 0
ESP
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
EDE
2 - 0
ASK
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
ASK
0 - 0
APR
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |