Marines FC vs AS Kigali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
32.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marines FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
RAY
34%
27%
39%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 0
MAR
41%
29%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
POL
2 - 1
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
RFC
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MUK
1 - 2
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AS Kigali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ASK
4 - 0
ESP
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
RFC
0 - 2
ASK
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
ASK
1 - 1
APR
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ASK
3 - 1
RAY
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ASK
1 - 2
MUS
49%
24%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |