Marines Eureka vs Chainat Hornbill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
65.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marines Eureka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MEF
1 - 1
CIT
52%
21%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
RTF
2 - 2
MEF
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CCS
0 - 0
MEF
62%
20%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
MEF
2 - 2
ACD
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
KAU
2 - 0
MEF
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Chainat Hornbill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
BAN
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
CHA
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
AYU
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 0
CHA
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 2
SKT
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |