Marine vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
HYD
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
HAV
25%
23%
53%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +3 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
COL
1 - 1
MAR
76%
16%
7%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 2
STA
71%
17%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 0
PIC
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
GUI
4 - 2
SOU
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 1
ALF
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 1
FAR
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
GAT
4 - 1
SOU
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 2
SOU
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |