Marine vs Matlock Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
30%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
WHI
2 - 1
MAR
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 3
SOU
16%
21%
63%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
GAI
0 - 1
MAR
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 1
MAR
85%
11%
5%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
SCA
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Matlock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MAT
0 - 2
WAR
14%
21%
64%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
MAT
2 - 2
BAS
38%
23%
38%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
HED
2 - 0
MAT
43%
24%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MAT
1 - 1
MIC
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
GRA
2 - 0
MAT
44%
23%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |