Marine vs Lancaster City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
HED
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 3
MIC
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
HAL
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
SUT
3 - 1
MAR
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
RFC
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lancaster City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
RFC
2 - 2
LAN
57%
22%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
LAN
0 - 2
RUS
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
COA
1 - 4
LAN
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
LAN
0 - 3
ASH
18%
22%
60%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
RUS
3 - 0
LAN
42%
24%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |