Marine vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
56.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
STI
3 - 1
MAR
15%
21%
64%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
GUI
4 - 2
MAR
26%
26%
47%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
LAN
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
MAC
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HAL
0 - 1
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TOW
0 - 1
CRE
35%
26%
40%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
TOW
1 - 4
MAN
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
COL
1 - 2
TOW
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TOW
1 - 3
STO
19%
24%
57%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
TOW
3 - 5
STA
43%
24%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |