Marine vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2016 |
STO
2 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
8%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
DAR
17%
22%
61%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
RUS
3 - 0
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
BAR
29%
24%
47%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
STA
2 - 3
COL
61%
20%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
DAR
3 - 0
COL
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
COL
1 - 4
SKE
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -2 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 2
COL
73%
18%
10%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
COL
0 - 2
ASH
15%
22%
63%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -1 |