Cup Paulista Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Marília vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 0
FER
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
FER
0 - 1
MAR
63%
23%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 2
VEL
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 0
MAR
56%
25%
19%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
BSP
0 - 2
MAR
33%
23%
44%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
XVD
1 - 0
COM
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
COM
0 - 0
XVD
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
XVD
2 - 1
ATI
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ATI
1 - 1
XVD
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
XVD
0 - 1
PRI
77%
16%
6%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |