Marília vs Sao Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
SEP
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FRA
0 - 0
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
4 - 1
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
UNI
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sao Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 2
BAT
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SJS
2 - 0
SVA
66%
19%
14%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 2
FLA
7%
15%
79%
|
34 | 77 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
SVA
64%
21%
16%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 0
GUA
24%
24%
53%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +3 |