Marília vs USAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 2
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
UNI
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 0
MAR
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
4 - 0
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAO
40%
27%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
USAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
USA
5 - 2
MAT
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
USA
0 - 0
VOT
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
SER
2 - 5
USA
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 1
USA
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
USA
3 - 1
GRE
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |