Marília vs União São João analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
IND
54%
22%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BAT
3 - 1
MAR
39%
25%
37%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
FLA
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
AME
2 - 0
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BAT
2 - 1
UNI
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
SER
1 - 0
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUA
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
VOT
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |