Marília vs Taboão da Serra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAP
60%
21%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAR
15%
20%
66%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 6
MAC
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 2
IFC
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Taboão da Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 0
TAB
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TAB
1 - 2
SER
29%
24%
48%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 0
TAB
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TAB
1 - 1
TAU
35%
24%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
PFC
0 - 1
TAB
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |