Marília vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
COM
2 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 1
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
RIO
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CAP
3 - 1
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
VOT
2 - 1
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
BER
2 - 0
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SER
1 - 2
SAO
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
USA
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
COM
0 - 1
SER
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
TAU
1 - 3
SER
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |