Marília vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SJS
1 - 2
MAR
35%
24%
42%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
INT
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
ITA
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
VOT
1 - 1
MAR
53%
23%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
CIA
33%
27%
41%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
NOV
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SER
4 - 1
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SVA
3 - 1
SER
16%
21%
62%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
FRA
0 - 2
SER
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
SER
3 - 1
INT
45%
26%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |