Marília vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BEB
4 - 2
MAR
16%
20%
63%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
INT
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 3
MAR
65%
18%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
GRE
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
MAR
24%
22%
54%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SER
0 - 2
BAR
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
SER
44%
24%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
FRA
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
RIO
17%
20%
63%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |