Marília vs São Bento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
JUV
65%
20%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
MAR
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
OSV
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
SER
66%
19%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BEB
4 - 2
MAR
16%
20%
63%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ECN
0 - 0
SAO
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 1
BEB
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
TAB
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 1
SAO
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 2
RIO
20%
22%
58%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |