Marília vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
CAP
3 - 2
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
ATI
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 0
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
TAB
4 - 0
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
DES
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
2 - 0
MON
29%
26%
46%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
OLI
3 - 0
RIO
57%
23%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
0 - 1
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
DES
2 - 0
RIO
53%
25%
23%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 0
RIO
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |