Marília vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
48.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
11%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 2
VOT
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 1
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
OLI
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
OLI
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
MIR
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
VOT
1 - 1
PEN
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 1
CAT
60%
24%
17%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
VEL
48%
26%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |