Marília vs Osvaldo Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
SER
66%
19%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BEB
4 - 2
MAR
16%
20%
63%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
INT
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 3
MAR
65%
18%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
GRE
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Osvaldo Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
OSV
0 - 1
BEB
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
OSV
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
OSV
2 - 2
TAB
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 4
OSV
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
5 - 0
OSV
62%
22%
17%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |