Marília vs Osvaldo Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAT
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
AUD
2 - 1
MAR
20%
21%
59%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
CRI
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
MAR
17%
23%
60%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
CAX
1 - 1
MAR
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Osvaldo Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
0 - 0
OSV
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
OSV
1 - 0
GUA
24%
24%
53%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
VFC
4 - 1
OSV
54%
23%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
OSV
2 - 2
ITA
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
OSV
2 - 0
FRA
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |