Marília vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAP
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
BER
2 - 0
MAR
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
USA
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MAT
0 - 2
MAR
26%
26%
47%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
BAN
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 0
BER
43%
26%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 0
NOR
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NOR
4 - 1
CAP
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
USA
0 - 0
NOR
24%
27%
50%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 3
NOR
36%
28%
37%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |