Marília vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
57.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
24%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
BRA
16%
20%
64%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 0
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 0
PEN
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
1 - 4
MIR
15%
20%
66%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 2
UNI
57%
23%
21%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
MIR
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 0
SAO
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |