Marília vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
BER
0 - 0
MAR
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAP
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAP
3 - 0
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
BER
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MAT
0 - 3
MAR
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
MAT
2 - 2
CAP
20%
23%
57%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BER
2 - 1
MAT
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MAT
1 - 0
BER
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
CAP
4 - 1
MAT
68%
18%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MAT
0 - 3
MAR
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |