Marília vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 2
BAR
32%
27%
42%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
DES
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SJS
5 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
FLA
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 0
MAN
76%
16%
9%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 2
TAB
18%
22%
60%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MAN
2 - 1
BER
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
BER
1 - 1
MAN
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MAN
3 - 1
UNI
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |