Marília vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
IFC
4 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 2
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
MAR
37%
23%
40%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
RIO
59%
22%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
MAD
1 - 1
MAC
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
MAD
0 - 1
IFC
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 0
MAD
62%
23%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RES
1 - 1
MAD
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MAD
2 - 1
BOA
29%
23%
48%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |