Marília vs CA Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
MAR
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
OSV
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
SER
66%
19%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BEB
4 - 2
MAR
16%
20%
63%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
INT
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CA Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 0
JUV
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
4 - 0
TAU
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
INT
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 2
JUV
81%
14%
5%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
GRE
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |