Marília vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
VOT
1 - 1
MAR
53%
23%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
CIA
33%
27%
41%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAC
2 - 0
MAR
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ITA
5 - 2
SEP
45%
24%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 0
ITA
79%
13%
8%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 2
MAR
32%
24%
44%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
BAT
0 - 0
ITA
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |