Marília vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BAT
3 - 1
MAR
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
FLA
13%
20%
67%
|
47 | 79 | 32 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
AME
2 - 0
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 2
SER
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
IND
2 - 2
INT
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
SVA
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SJS
2 - 2
IND
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
IND
3 - 1
NOV
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
IND
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |