Marília vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
VFC
2 - 0
MAR
19%
21%
60%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 0
OSV
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAT
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
AUD
2 - 1
MAR
20%
21%
59%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
CRI
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 1
CAT
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 2
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
5 - 0
GRE
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
VFC
1 - 1
GUA
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AMF
2 - 1
GUA
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |